Lesson Plan

Exploring Probability: What Are The Chances?

What is the likelihood that a polar bear will walk into the classroom? Students will consider this and other events using the concept of probability and the terms: Impossible, unlikely, likely, and certain.
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Learning Objectives

Students will be able to predict the probability of chance events based on statistical principles and data.


(5 minutes)
  • Pose the question, "How likely is it to snow tomorrow?" Ask students to discuss with an elbow partner and then write their response on an individual whiteboard or scratch paper.
  • While students are discussing, create a horizontal line across the board, creating a continuum with impossible on one end and certain on the other.
  • Share out a sampling of responses with the class and record some on the board. Before writing it on the board, ask the class where you should put each response on the continuum.